A famous line from Hemingway’s The Sun Also Rises asks a character in the story how he went bankrupt. His answer: “Two ways…gradually, then suddenly.”
This sentence has always been an example to me of how compound interest works in finance. It’s also a good description of the S-curve so often seen in the introduction of technological innovation, where the growth of a technology is slow and boring at first, then suddenly skyrockets in exponential growth. Gradually then suddenly is also an apt description of many geopolitical trends. We have all followed China’s faltering economy, then suddenly their GDP is declining. We gradually watched as Russia posed for an invasion of Ukraine, then suddenly the invasion that few expected happened.
The result of all this is a very turbulent business environment and the need for executives to strive for situational awareness in order to make operational decisions.
OODA leadership maintains an up-to-date C-suite report that tracks the big issues and provides recommendations for strategic actions to mitigate risk and capitalize on opportunity. The latest edition of this report provides an overall assessment of the global environment, then addresses:
- What great power competition means for your company
- The Russian invasion of Ukraine and its impact in Europe and around the world
- Gloomy economic outlook for China and implications for the business environment
- Networked extremism and the convergence of crime, insurgency and corruption
- Food security as an increasing driver of geopolitics
- The demographic time bomb
- New risks and opportunities in the age of convergent technologies
- Automation, new sensors and new communication
- Uncertainties in supply chains for computer chips
- The need to optimize small amounts of data, reduce the cost of training ML and improve NLP
- The upcoming metaverse and its potential to disrupt the internet
- Unstoppable Bitcoin
- Cyber and geopolitical risks
- The rise of ransomware
- What companies should do against continuous cyber risks
- Use scenario planning to reduce risk, seek opportunities, and inform business strategies
- Update your US drought and food security strategy
- Reshoring Acceleration
We categorize and summarize these major trends into geopolitical issues, technology trends, cyber risk issues and recommended actions.
To continue reading, please consider joining as either a Subscriber or Full Member to support our ongoing research and analysis. See below for more information on membership benefits.
Already a member? Sign in to your account.
OODA Loop provides actionable information, analytics and insights into global security, technology and business issues. Our members are world leaders, technologists, and intelligence and security professionals who seek to inform their decision-making process to understand and manage global risks and opportunities.
You can choose to be an OODA Loop Subscriber or an OODA Network Member. Subscribers get access to all site content, while members get all site content plus additional member benefits like attendance at our monthly meetings, exclusive unlocked OODA discounts, discounted training and conference attendance, job openings, our weekly research report, and other great benefits. Join here.
Discover OODA research and analysis
Use OODA Loop to improve your decision making on any contest venture. Discover OODA Loop
The most important factor in your success will be the quality of your decisions. We examine frameworks to understand and mitigate risks while enabling opportunities. Topics include Black Swans, Gray Rhinos, Foresight, Strategy, Stratigames, Business Intelligence and Intelligent Enterprises. Leadership in the modern age is also a central theme in this area. Discover decision intelligence
We follow the rapidly changing world of technology with a focus on what leaders need to know to improve decision making. The future of technology is being created now and we deliver insights that enable better action based on the future of technology. We offer deep insights into Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Cloud Computing, Quantum Computing, Security Technology, Space Technology. Discover Disruptive/Exponential Tech
security and resiliency
Security and resilience topics include geopolitical and cyber risks, cyber conflict, cyber diplomacy, cyber security, nation-state conflicts, non-nation-state conflicts, global health, international crime, supply chains, and terrorism. Discover security and resiliency
The OODA community includes a broad group of decision makers, analysts, entrepreneurs, government leaders and technology developers. Interact with and learn from your peers through monthly online meetings, OODA salons, the OODAcast, in-person conferences, and an online forum. Interact with leaders via a closed Wickr channel for the most sensitive discussions. The community also has access to a members-only video library. Discover the OODA community